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The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?
This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.
'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday
'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent
Đặt sách ngoại văn The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Mua sách ngoại văn The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Đọc sách ngoại văn The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Sách tiếng Anh The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Tải về The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Review sách The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Review phim The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Đánh giá The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Mua The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable giá rẻ The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Đánh giá The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Tác giả The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Tiki The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Fahasa The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Shopee The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Amazon The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Download PDF The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Download epub The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Ebook The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Tiếng Việt The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Sách ngoại văn The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable Đọc sách Mua sách Review sách
We based our evaluation of book condition on the following criteria:
* New: Just like it sounds. A brand-new, unused, unread copy in perfect condition.
* Like New: An apparently unread copy in perfect condition. Dust cover is intact; pages are clean and are not marred by notes or folds of any kind.
* Very Good: A copy that has been read, but remains in excellent condition. Pages are intact and are not marred by notes or highlighting, but may contain a neat previous owner name. The spine remains undamaged.
* Good: A copy that has been read, but remains in clean condition. All pages are intact, and the cover is intact. The spine may show signs of wear. Pages can include limited notes and highlighting, and the copy can include "From the library of" labels or previous owner inscriptions.
* Acceptable: A readable copy. All pages are intact, and the cover is intact (the dust cover may be missing). Pages can include considerable notes--in pen or highlighter--but the notes cannot obscure the text.
